CAE (CAE) Q2 FY2027 earnings review
Quarter ended September 30, 2026. Figures in Canadian dollars unless noted.
For information only, not investment advice. No rating or price target.
The company raised its fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS outlook to C$1.28–C$1.35.
CAE Inc. · Q2 FY2027 · Published Nov 12, 2026 · By DeepCell AI · Sources
Quarter ended September 30, 2026. Figures in Canadian dollars unless noted.
For information only, not investment advice. No rating or price target.
Built with DeepCell / deepcell.net
1 · CAE (CAE) Q2 FY2027 earnings review
Note: Company figures are in Canadian dollars unless noted. The Nasdaq CAE share price is in U.S. dollars. Pre-market is not a close. Official year-on-year rates in this summary are the variance percentages in the release tables.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; Yahoo Finance, Nov 11, 2026; CNBC, Nov 12, 2026 8:58 AM EST
2 · Executive summary
Q2 FY2027 results vs. Yahoo Finance consensus (Nov 11, 2026)
| Metric | Actual | Consensus | Variance | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 revenue (C$) | C$1,204.7M | C$1,250.0M | C$-45.3M / -3.6% | Miss |
| Q2 IFRS diluted EPS (C$) | C$0.18 | C$0.26 | C$-0.08 / -30.8% | Miss |
Share price, Nov 11 regular close to Nov 12 pre-market last
| CAE Inc. (Nasdaq) | Nov 11 close | Nov 12 pre-market, 8:58 AM EST | Change ($) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAE | $27.39 | $28.15 | +$0.76 | +2.8% |
Both prices are from the CNBC quote page. The close is the regular-session last at 4:00 PM EST. The pre-market last is not a close. The pre-market percentage change is a DeepCell calculation from those two prices. CNBC does not state a reason for the move.
Note: The Yahoo Finance EPS estimate of C$0.26 is compared with official IFRS diluted EPS of C$0.18, because Yahoo’s earnings-history actual for the year-ago quarter of C$0.23 matches official IFRS EPS, not adjusted EPS of C$0.28. Official adjusted EPS was C$0.33. Yahoo displays the revenue estimate as 1.25B Canadian dollars (10 analysts).Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; Yahoo Finance, Nov 11, 2026; CNBC, Nov 12, 2026 8:58 AM EST
3 · Q2 results vs. consensus
Note: SOI is segment operating income. Outlook is as at November 11, 2026, for the year ending March 31, 2027. Civil revenue is expected to be flat to slightly down and Defense to grow at a mid-single digit rate. There is no third-party consensus shown for the outlook ranges.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
4 · Fiscal 2027 guidance
Key figures
| C$ M unless noted | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 | YoY, as stated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | C$1,236.6M | C$1,204.7M | -2.6% |
| Operating income | C$155.3M | C$114.4M | -26.3% |
| Adjusted segment operating income | C$176.7M | C$179.3M | 1.5% |
| Net income to equity holders | C$73.9M | C$58.6M | -20.7% |
| Diluted EPS (C$) | C$0.23 | C$0.18 | -21.7% |
| Adjusted EPS (C$) | C$0.28 | C$0.33 | 17.9% |
Note: Official year-on-year percentages are the variance column in the “Summary of consolidated results” table. Adjusted segment operating income and adjusted EPS are non-IFRS measures as defined in the release.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
5 · Q2 key financials
Segment results
C$ M unless noted, Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
| C$ M unless noted | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 | YoY, as stated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Civil revenue | C$670.0M | C$652.3M | -2.6% |
| Civil adjusted SOI | C$124.1M | C$103.9M | -16.3% |
| Civil adjusted SOI margin | 18.5% | 15.9% | n.m. |
| Defense revenue | C$566.6M | C$552.4M | -2.5% |
| Defense adjusted SOI | C$52.6M | C$75.4M | 43.3% |
| Defense adjusted SOI margin | 9.3% | 13.6% | n.m. |
Note: SOI is adjusted segment operating income, a non-IFRS measure. Official year-on-year rates are the variance percentages in the Civil and Defense tables. Margin year-on-year changes are not stated as a single official rate, so n.m. is shown.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
6 · Segment results
Adjusted segment operating income
C$ M, Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
Note: Adjusted segment operating income was C$179.3 million compared with C$176.7 million a year earlier. Operating income of C$114.4 million included restructuring costs of C$42.6 million.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
7 · Adjusted operating income
Civil operating indicators
Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
| Metric | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 |
|---|---|---|
| Simulator equivalent units | 321 | 318 |
| Full-flight simulators in the network | 375 | 373 |
| FFS deliveries | 12 | 11 |
| Civil training utilization | 61.9% | 65.0% |
| Civil book-to-sales, quarter | — | C$0.89 |
| Civil book-to-sales, last 12 months | — | C$1.07 |
Note: The release states Civil training centre utilization of 65.0% and 11 full-flight simulator deliveries in the quarter. Book-to-sales figures are official supplementary measures.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
8 · Civil training and deliveries
IFRS to adjusted net income
C$ M unless noted, Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
| C$ M unless noted | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 |
|---|---|---|
| Net income to equity holders | C$73.9M | C$58.6M |
| Restructuring, integration and acquisition costs, after tax | — | C$31.8M |
| Amortization of acquisition-related intangibles, after tax | C$16.3M | C$17.0M |
| Adjusted net income | C$90.2M | C$107.4M |
| Diluted shares (millions) | 322.2 | 321.3 |
| Adjusted EPS (C$) | C$0.28 | C$0.33 |
Note: The reconciliation is the company’s table of adjusted net income and adjusted EPS. Adjusted EPS is a non-IFRS ratio. A year-earlier restructuring after-tax amount is shown as a dash because the release records no such cost in Q2 FY2026.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
9 · Reported vs. adjusted EPS
Margins
C$ M unless noted, Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
| Metric | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 |
|---|---|---|
| Operating margin | 12.6% | 9.5% |
| Adjusted SOI margin | 14.3% | 14.9% |
| Civil adjusted SOI margin | 18.5% | 15.9% |
| Defense adjusted SOI margin | 9.3% | 13.6% |
| Effective tax rate | 22.7% | 13.0% |
| Adjusted effective tax rate | 22.9% | 18.7% |
Note: SOI is segment operating income. Operating margin and adjusted SOI margin are as stated in the release (9.5% and 14.9% of revenue this quarter). The effective tax rate was 13.0%, and the adjusted effective tax rate was 18.7%.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
10 · Margin analysis
Free cash flow
C$ M, Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
Note: The company states the free cash flow increase was mainly due to lower capital expenditures. In the quarter it repurchased 1,908,861 shares at a weighted average price of C$35.12, for C$67.1 million. Year-to-date repurchases through the second quarter were approximately 3.0 million shares for C$106.1 million.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
11 · Cash flow and buybacks
Capital spending and cash flow
C$ M unless noted, Q2 FY2026 vs Q2 FY2027
| C$ M | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 | YoY, as stated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital expenditures | C$107.6M | C$48.9M | -55.8% |
| Operating cash flow | C$214.0M | C$215.5M | n.m. |
| Free cash flow | C$109.8M | C$179.9M | 63.8% |
Note: The official 0.7% year-on-year change in operating cash flow is not used as a headline rate here. Free cash flow is a non-IFRS measure as defined in the release.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
12 · Capital expenditure
Financial position
C$ M unless noted, Mar 31, 2026 vs Sep 30, 2026
| C$ M unless noted | Mar 31, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Cash and cash equivalents | C$552.4M | C$570.5M |
| Total assets | C$11,147.8M | C$11,088.3M |
| Current portion of long-term debt | C$252.0M | C$534.0M |
| Long-term debt | C$2,982.2M | C$2,571.1M |
| Total equity | C$5,388.1M | C$5,519.5M |
| Net debt | — | C$2,534.6M |
| Net debt to adjusted EBITDA | C$2.66 (year earlier) | C$2.16 |
Note: Net debt of C$2,534.6 million and the 2.16 times net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA ratio are official period-end figures. A year earlier the ratio was 2.66 times. At the end of the preceding quarter, net debt was C$2,646.2 million and the ratio was 2.27 times.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
13 · Balance sheet and net debt
Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
14 · Key risks to guidance
| Claim | Evidence | Calculation |
|---|---|---|
| Civil revenue | C$670.0M to C$652.3M | down 2.6%, as stated |
| Defense revenue | C$566.6M to C$552.4M | down 2.5%, as stated |
| Civil adjusted backlog | C$8,292.0M | C$8.3 billion as stated |
| Defense adjusted backlog | C$11,284.7M | C$11.3 billion as stated, including unfunded awards and joint-venture interests |
Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
15 · Appendix: Segment detail
| Claim | Evidence | Calculation |
|---|---|---|
| Operating income | C$155.3M to C$114.4M | down 26.3%, as stated |
| Adjusted segment operating income | C$176.7M to C$179.3M | 1.5% as stated |
| Adjusted net income | C$90.2M to C$107.4M | Adjusted EPS C$0.33 |
| Adjusted SOI margin | 14.3% to 14.9% | As stated |
Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
16 · Appendix: Profit and margins
| Claim | Evidence | Calculation |
|---|---|---|
| FY2027 adjusted EPS outlook | C$1.28 to C$1.35 | Raised from C$1.21–C$1.28 |
| FY2027 adjusted SOI margin outlook | 14.9% to 15.4% | Raised from 14.6%–15.1% |
| Share repurchases, year to date | C$106.1M | Approximately 3.0 million shares |
| Expected Flightscape sale proceeds | US$500 million, as stated | Expected to close in the first half of calendar 2027 |
SOI is segment operating income. Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
17 · Appendix: Guidance and capital
| Claim | Evidence | Calculation |
|---|---|---|
| Transformation costs in the quarter | C$42.6M | Also the Q2 restructuring cost |
| Transformation costs incurred to date | C$175.3M | Of a total planned cost of about C$200–C$250 million |
| Annual run-rate savings target | C$125M to C$150M | Company remains on track, as stated |
| Investment tax credits in Defense | C$11M | Identified and claimed in the period in respect of prior years |
Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
18 · Appendix: Transformation plan
Income statement
| C$ M unless noted | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | C$1,236.6M | C$1,204.7M | down 2.6%, as stated |
| Gross profit | C$319.3M | C$339.9M | n.m. |
| Operating income | C$155.3M | C$114.4M | down 26.3%, as stated |
| Net income to equity holders | C$73.9M | C$58.6M | down 20.7%, as stated |
Per share (C$)
| C$ M unless noted | Q2 FY2026 | Q2 FY2027 | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diluted EPS (C$) | C$0.23 | C$0.18 | down 21.7%, as stated |
| Adjusted EPS (C$) | C$0.28 | C$0.33 | 17.9% as stated |
| Free cash flow | C$109.8M | C$179.9M | 63.8% as stated |
| Capital expenditures | C$107.6M | C$48.9M | down 55.8%, as stated |
Note: n.m. means an official year-on-year percentage is not stated for that line. Official rates are labelled “as stated”. Other year-on-year rates in the model, if shown elsewhere, are DeepCell calculations.Source: CAE official Q2 FY2027 press release, Nov 11, 2026, via PR Newswire; analysis of company data
19 · Appendix: Income statement
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20 · Sources
For information only. This presentation is provided for information only. It is not investment, legal, tax or accounting advice, and it is not an offer, or a solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any security.
No recommendation. It carries no rating, price target or buy, sell or hold view, and it was prepared without regard to any reader’s investment objectives, financial situation or needs.
Sources and accuracy. Company figures come from CAE Inc.’s official press release dated November 11, 2026, “CAE reports second quarter fiscal 2027 results,” as issued via PR Newswire and described on the company’s investor-relations site. A Form 6-K had not appeared on EDGAR at the time of writing. The FY27 second-quarter financial report and annex PDFs were listed on the IR page but could not be retrieved from this environment. Consensus estimates (Yahoo Finance) and share prices (CNBC) are third-party data, credited on the sources page. We have not independently verified third-party data.
Basis of presentation. Figures are IFRS unless labelled non-IFRS, in Canadian dollars unless otherwise indicated, for the quarters ended September 30, 2026 and 2025. The share price is the Nasdaq CAE quote in U.S. dollars.
Forward-looking statements. Company outlook, transformation targets, the proposed Flightscape sale, the potential U.S. GAAP transition, consensus estimates and the watch items in this deck are forward-looking and may not be achieved. Readers should check the figures against the original release.
Date of analysis. Share prices are the CNBC regular-session close at 4:00 PM EST on November 11, 2026, and the Nov 12 pre-market last at 8:58 AM EST on November 12, 2026. The pre-market last is not a close.
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21 · Disclosures
Not investment advice; no rating or price target.
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